Calculate your trading edge
A statistically relevant sample size of at least 30 historical trades are required to get dependable data. A higher number of trades provides a more reliable result.
- Determine the total number of profitable trades you’ve had and enter the average profit into the appropriate area below.
- Determine the total number of losing trades you’ve had and enter the average size of loss in the box below.
- Hit the “Calculate” button.
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| Average Trade Profit | |
|---|---|
| Average Trade Loss | |
| Profit Ratio: | |
| Loss Rate: | |
| The Percentage of Trades needed to Breakeven | % |
Trading edge = (Actual winning percentage) – (Breakeven winning percentage)
For example assume:
-
- Total number of trades: 400
- Total number of profitable trades: 300, average trade profit: $100
- Total number of losing trades: 100, average trade loss: $220
- % total trades that must be profitable to breakeven: 69%
- Actual winning percentage: 300 profitable trades / 400 total trades = 75%
- Trading edge: 75% actual win rate – 69% breakeven win rate = 6%
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NOTE: Trading edge might be negative.
